2011 Caulfield Guineas Betting & Field Update

September 13th, 2011

Despite being controversially beaten in their first career loss in the Golden Rose last weekend, the Anthony Cummings-trained Smart Missile has retained their favouritism in the Caulfield Guineas 2011 betting markets.

Fastnet Rock colt Smart Missile was backed as well as their excellent form warranted to keep their flawless career record in tack and take out the $1 million Group 1 Golden Rose (1400m) in Sydney last Saturday.

Despite the race being their maiden over 1400 metres and their first ever try second-up, Smart Missile started short-priced favourite in the Luxbet markets.

After another Rose rival and their jockey, Foxwedge and James McDonald, caused a messily run Rose with early interference, Smart Missile was forced back to last by hoop Glen Boss.

It proved a disastrous decision for Smart Missile, despite producing their blistering late burst and really pulling out the run of the race over the final 600 metres, as Boss had already given the progressive Manawanui too much of a head start.

The Ron Leemon-trained Manawanui was able to lead all the way and snare an upset Golden Rose victory by a short-neck over Smart Missile, Peter Snowden’s son of Exceed And Excel Helmet crossing a further three and a quarter lengths away third.

Cummings, bookmakers around Australia and those in the racing game, however, saw just how unlucky Smart Missile was in the race and the horse lost few admirers progressing onto the $1 million Group 1 Caulfield Guineas (1600m) on October 8.

“He’s run the best sectional (600 metres), he’s run the best race but the best ride won on the day,” Cummings said after the race on Saturday.

Caulfield Guineas odds at Luxbet now have Smart Missile at a firming price of $4, Cummings yet to decide whether the horse will run their final lead-up in the $175,000 Group 3 Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m) or the $350,000 Group 1 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes (1400m), both at Caulfield Saturday week.

There was also a lot to like about Oratorio gelding Manawanui and their Golden Rose victory that rewarded connections with a $600,000 pay day after they opted to pay the hefty $50,000 late entry to get the galloper into the Golden Rose.

Manawanui, who has now won four of their five career starts, proved their four and a half length lead-up victory in the Group 3 Up & Coming Stakes (1300m) at Warwick Farm on August 20 was no fluke.

Luxbet have subsequently shortened Manawanui’s Caulfield Guineas betting price, the Golden Rose winner in from $15 to $7.50.

They still trail dual Group 1 winner Helmet, however, whose Golden Rose run was also marred by interference.

Helmet, winner of the AJC Sires Produce Stakes – Champagne Stakes double last season, is the $6.50 Caulfield Guineas second elect at Luxbet with punters predicting the Darley-owned hero to improve with the step up to the mile.

The only other Caulfield Guineas field entry still at single-figure odds in the futures to win is the Peter Moody-trained Moment Of Change at $9.

Moment Of Change has had just one run to date, when they scored a blistering 10 length victory on debut at Murtoa on August 27.

Moody has them ready to race again and prove their Group 1 Melbourne Spring Carnival credentials at Sandown Lakeside this Wednesday, September 14, in the $30,000 Hyland Race Colours Handicap (1300m).

View the full list of Caulfield Guineas betting odds and options at Australia’s leading online bookmaker Luxbet today.

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